
It has been over two years since I wrote a Psychological Elf weblog about conclusions drawn from proof within the therapy of consideration deficit/hyperactivity dysfunction (ADHD) with my paediatrician colleague (Suetani S and Panagoda G, 2022). We thought ADHD was a scorching matter then, however two and half years later, it stays extremely popular.
There have been a number of necessary Psychological Elf blogs on ADHD since then (e.g. ADHD and intimate companion violence (Bhavsar V and Duggal J, 2023), ADHD and college absence/exclusion (Fielding C, 2022), ADHD and tutorial efficiency (Badenoch D, 2022)). Though the proof base for ADHD is quickly rising, many key questions stay unanswered (Chaulagain A et al., 2023), together with easy methods to assess the utility of interventions with low/no medical proof – the topic of one other Psychological Elf weblog (Karmakar S, 2022).
An rising precedence in ADHD is: how related is the analysis proof we’ve, to the affected person sitting in entrance of me?
A brand new examine printed at the moment within the Lancet Psychiatry by Garcia-Argibay et al (2025) explores this query.

ADHD is a ‘scorching matter’ in psychological well being science proper now, and rightly so, as there are lots of unanswered questions the place analysis can actually enhance folks’s lives.
Strategies
Utilizing the information from a number of Swedish nationwide registries, the authors recognized everybody with a analysis of ADHD who had obtained ADHD treatment. They divided the cohort into those that could be eligible for a typical ADHD randomised managed trial (RCT) and those that could be ineligible, based mostly on an evaluation of 164 RCTs of ADHD medicines.
The most typical exclusion standards included: antidepressant use, psychosis, bipolar dysfunction, substance use dysfunction, cardiovascular dysfunction, studying incapacity/low intelligence quotient, anxiousness dysfunction, and autism spectrum dysfunction.
The examine in contrast the 2 teams when it comes to:
Main outcomes
- Remedy switching
- Remedy discontinuation.
Secondary outcomes
- The variety of inpatient psychiatric hospitalisations
- The variety of emergency division visits or hospitalisations associated to unintended accidents or accidents
- Specialist care encounters for an alcohol or drug associated analysis, melancholy, or anxiousness.
Outcomes
Of 189,699 people included on this examine, simply over half (53%) had been categorized as being ineligible for a typical ADHD treatment RCT. The proportion of ineligible people was increased for adults aged 17 and over (74%) in comparison with adolescents (35%) or kids (21%).
Let me repeat this for emphasis: over 70% of adults had been ineligible for a typical ADHD treatment RCT.
When it comes to the first outcomes;
- The ineligible group had a better danger of therapy switching in comparison with the eligible group (Hazard ratio [HR] 1.14 with 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.12 to 1.16)
- The ineligible group had a barely decrease danger of treatment discontinuation (HR 0.96 with 95% CI 0.94 to 0.98)
When it comes to the secondary outcomes:
- The ineligible group had a better danger of
- inpatient psychiatric hospitalisations (incidence price ratio [IRR] 9.68 with 95% CI 9.57 to 9.78)
- emergency division visits or hospitalisations associated to unintended accidents or accidents (IRR 1.31 with 95% CI 1.27 to 1.35)
- specialist care encounters for an alcohol or drug associated analysis (IRR 14.78 with 95% CI 14.64 to 14.91), melancholy (IRR 6.00 with 95% CI 5.94 to 6.06), or anxiousness (IRR 11.63 with 95% CI 11.56 to 11.69)
Of word, the imply age for the eligible group was 13 (age vary 10 to 16) in comparison with 26 (age vary 17 to 37) for the ineligible group. For adults (these aged 17 and over), the imply age for the eligible group was 20 (age vary 17 to 29) in comparison with 30 for the ineligible group (age vary 23 to 40).

This examine discovered that over 70% of adults had been ineligible for a typical ADHD treatment analysis trial (RCT). Can we depend on the proof we’re producing, if we’re excluding such a big proportion of individuals from our analysis?
Conclusions
The authors concluded:
[the] examine confirmed {that a} substantial portion of people with ADHD, particularly adults, are ineligible for normal RCTs, and these people have increased charges of adversarial medical outcomes in contrast with their eligible counterparts.
Because the authors state within the dialogue part, we’ve a paradox, particularly for adults with ADHD, of;
these sufferers who may profit most from evidence-based steerage are the least represented in medical trials that are supposed to inform steerage.

These ADHD researchers conclude that “these sufferers who may profit most from evidence-based steerage are the least represented in medical trials that are supposed to inform steerage.”
Strengths and limitations
That is an distinctive examine. The authors proposed a key query, grabbed an entire lot of information, and analysed them to give you related findings. Your complete examine was elegant in its design and swish in its supply.
Because the authors acknowledge, the examine has the standard limitations related to cohort research. Specifically, there’s a lack of fine-grained medical information on the particular person affected person stage. This meant the examine used extra blunt instruments to estimate medical parameters, as is most evident within the secondary outcomes of the examine.
As an illustration, the variety of inpatient psychiatric hospitalisations was used as a proxy measure for total psychiatric burden. At the least in Australia, I’ve by no means seen anybody being admitted to a public hospital for a relapse of ADHD. The variety of emergency division visits or hospitalisations associated to unintended accidents or accidents was used as an goal measure for useful impairment, however that is an uncommon approach of assessing somebody’s day-to-day perform. Though comorbidity is a rule moderately than an exception amongst adults with ADHD and the medical method might be difficult (Katzman MA et al, 2017), I’m unsure if lots of them would require particular specialist care for his or her comorbidities.
Lastly, I do know little or no about Sweden, however I assume that the authorized framework for prescribing psychostimulant treatment could be completely different to Australia, the place I observe. Sweden additionally has a a lot increased price of ADHD treatment prescription in comparison with locations like the UK or Australia. But, the speed is far decrease than these seen in North America (Chan AYL et al., 2023). I additionally suspect that many cultural components past the well being system, resembling gross home product per capita and the societal angle in direction of the idea of ADHD, would play a big position in the way you deal with the situation in several nations.

This analysis was performed in Sweden. After we’re contemplating the relevance of analysis, we must always all the time ask ourselves if the sufferers and setting are so completely different that we can’t apply this proof to our personal state of affairs.
Implications for observe
As a clinician, I need to know the reply to the query; “Will this treatment assist my affected person get higher underneath these circumstances?”, moderately than “How effectively does this treatment work in an excellent circumstance?”
As an grownup psychiatrist, most of my sufferers current for ADHD evaluation of their 30’s and 40’s. How a lot religion would you spend money on your evidence-based steerage if you happen to knew that over 70% of your sufferers could be ineligible to take part in a typical RCT? To misquote Winston Churchill, is RCT the worst type of proof (apart from all these different varieties which were tried infrequently)?
The authors suggest a extra complete method to medical analysis in ADHD. On condition that this isn’t an issue distinctive to ADHD, I might argue that we have to contemplate an identical method for all psychiatric circumstances. They recommend combining the findings from RCTs, pragmatic trials, observational research, and focused trials in usually excluded populations to triangulate the information to offer clinicians with a greater understanding of the effectiveness of every intervention in several cohorts. I might additionally add the native service stage information to the combination. A small quantity of fine-grained medical details about a specific inhabitants underneath explicit circumstances is perhaps extra beneficial than a considerable amount of high-level information.
We additionally must agree on what to measure. How will we measure outcomes on the particular person stage? What will we imply by useful impairment? Do we would like our sufferers to really feel much less distracted, or do we would like them to be employed? How will we measure outcomes on the inhabitants stage? If we deal with ADHD sufficiently in a inhabitants, would we see a discount in misplaced productiveness as a society? And is productiveness at a inhabitants stage, a authentic cause and measurable end result for which to deal with the affected person sitting in entrance of me?
Right here is a chance for us to take the findings from this distinctive examine to maneuver the sector ahead. All that glitters shouldn’t be gold; RCTs might now not be the gold customary of medical analysis in psychiatry. We have to urgently construct the bridge to take us from efficacy to effectiveness.

All that glitters shouldn’t be gold. Ought to we rely much less on RCTs and be extra open minded about several types of proof?
Assertion of pursuits
Shuichi is a member of the Royal Australian and New Zealand School of Psychiatrists ADHD Community, and Australasian ADHD Professionals Affiliation.
Hyperlinks
Main paper
Garcia-Argibay M, Chang Z, Brikell I. et al (2025) Evaluating ADHD treatment trial representativeness: a Swedish population-based examine evaluating hypothetically trial-eligible and trial-ineligible people. Lancet Psychiatry (in press)
Different references
Badenoch D. ADHD is a considerable danger issue for poor tutorial efficiency, in response to a brand new examine from Norway #CAMHScampfire. The Psychological Elf, 23 Sep 2022.
Bhavsar V and Duggal J. What’s the proof for ADHD as a danger issue for intimate companion violence or sexual violence? The Psychological Elf, 6 Nov 2023.
Chan AYL, Ma TT, Lau WCY, et al (2023). Consideration-deficit/hyperactivity dysfunction treatment consumption in 64 nations and areas from 2015 to 2019: a longitudinal examine. EClinicalMedicine. 2023 Mar 20;58:101780. doi: 10.1016/j.eclinm.2022.101780. PMID: 37181411; PMCID: PMC10166776.
Chaulagain A, Lyhmann I, Halmøy A. et al (2023) A scientific meta-review of systematic evaluations on consideration deficit hyperactivity dysfunction. Eur Psychiatry. 2023 Nov 17;66(1):e90. doi: 10.1192/j.eurpsy.2023.2451. PMID: 37974470; PMCID: PMC10755583.
Fielding C. What’s the hyperlink between neurodevelopmental or psychological problems and college absence or exclusion? The Psychological Elf, 10 Nov 2022.
Karmakar S. Behavioural therapies might cut back inattention signs in adults with ADHD. The Psychological Elf, 24 Jan 2022.
Katzman MA, Bilkey TS, Chokka PR. Et al (2017) Grownup ADHD and comorbid problems: medical implications of a dimensional method. BMC Psychiatry. 2017 Aug 22;17(1):302. doi: 10.1186/s12888-017-1463-3. PMID: 28830387; PMCID: PMC5567978.
Suetani S and Panagoda G. Critiquing the proof behind the “evidence-based conclusions” about ADHD. The Psychological Elf, 21 Sep 2022.